the crypto world- Top Overview

2024-12-14 10:26:55

3. Robots constantly produce new catalysis.However, to put it bluntly, most retail investors are positioned at the bottom of the stock market and are the weakest side in the short-term game. If you are not convinced, you can ask yourself: Are you sure that all the information you get is accurate first-hand information, not second-hand information that has been spread all over the world and it is difficult to tell the truth from the false? Are you sure you can really overcome human nature, be more ruthless than institutions and most retail investors, and strictly abide by trading discipline?Before September, the market has always been a high dividend for defense and hedging, and the market is specially estimated. The incremental fund is the national team; Since the end of September, the market has been the mainstream theme, with low price and small ticket style. The incremental funds are new investors entering the market and old investors recharging.


The above four long-term technical indicators all show that the market trend has changed, from bears to cattle. As far as the general direction and technical indicators are concerned, the market is now on the road to a bull market, and I think the probability is 100%, and there is no contingency.Now the market pricing power is still in the hands of hot money+quantification+retail investors. Hot money pulls demon stocks, robots, AI and other themes every day, and it's fun to play; Quantifying the direction of pulling small-cap stocks and low-priced stocks every day also earns a lot of money. The institution is very embarrassed, and it is still in the negative cycle of locking up-redemption-selling to deal with redemption-continuing to lock up. Occasionally, one day, the institutions will explode and usher in a greater redemption. They can only continue to sell and bear the stigma of smashing the plate.If you can't, it means that the winning rate of every small decision you make is not high. Small decisions with low winning rate will be amplified by high-frequency operation, and the result is that the more you do, the more mistakes you make. Therefore, retail investors want to make money through high-frequency decision-making to predict the market, and the probability of success is doomed to be very low, and they can't make a few money. The short-term market is almost a pure game market, but in the long run, the stock price will always fluctuate around the intrinsic value, even a shares are no exception.


1. Individual pension funds will be expanded to broad-based index products.3. Robots constantly produce new catalysis.In a bull market, the market is full of liquidity and investors have a high risk appetite, and the stock price is generally higher than the intrinsic value. In a bear market, expectations are pessimistic and liquidity is exhausted, and the stock price is generally lower than the intrinsic value. Although the stock price will deviate from the intrinsic value most of the time, the stock price is infinitely close to the intrinsic value for a long time.

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